The Town FilesBull Run Mountain Estates, Virginia
Community in Prince William County · population 1,220 (2020 Census)
- Median home
- $623,800
- Household income
- $250,001
- Jan low / Jul high
- 25° / 87°
- Snow a year
- 20 in
- Tornadoes ≤10 mi since 1950
- 14
- Median age
- 34.6
Bull Run Mountain Estates is a community of 1,220 people in Prince William County, Virginia. The median home is worth $623,800, above the typical Virginia town ($298,050). It ranks better for families than 98% of Virginia towns, more of a college town than 87% of Virginia towns, more upscale than 87% of Virginia towns.
How Bull Run Mountain Estates ranks
Percentile among Virginia towns with at least 500 people on The Town Files lifestyle rankings. 50 is typical for the state; 90 means better than 90% of Virginia towns.
Homes and cost of living
The median home in Bull Run Mountain Estates is worth $623,800, above the typical Virginia town ($298,050). Homes cost about 2.5 times the median household income of $250,001, which is more affordable than 91% of Virginia towns. 100.0% of households own their home.
| Housing | Bull Run Mountain Estates | Typical Virginia town |
|---|---|---|
| Median home value | $623,800 | $298,050 |
| Median rent | — | $1,254 |
| Median household income | $250,001 | $78,595 |
| Home value ÷ income | 2.5× | 3.8× |
| Homeownership | 100.0% | 69.2% |
| Median year built | 1978 | 1980 |
| Seasonal / vacation homes | 0.0% | — |
Who lives in Bull Run Mountain Estates
| People | Bull Run Mountain Estates | Typical Virginia town |
|---|---|---|
| Median age | 34.6 | 39.8 |
| Age 65 and over | 10.6% | 17.3% |
| Under 18 | 40.7% | — |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 65.7% | 31.2% |
| Below the poverty line | 1.1% | 8.8% |
| Veterans | 27.5% | — |
| Born outside the U.S. | 1.5% | — |
| Work from home | 44.3% | 12.8% |
| Average commute | 33.3 min | 26.3 min |
| Homes with broadband | 96.8% | 91.8% |
Weather in Bull Run Mountain Estates
July highs average 87.2°F and January lows 24.9°F. About 45.1 inches of rain and melted snow fall a year, with 19.8 inches of snow (typical Virginia town: 13.4 in). Expect about 32 days a year at 90°F or hotter and 119 nights at or below freezing.
Tornadoes, storms and disasters
14 tornadoes have passed within 10 miles of Bull Run Mountain Estates since 1950, compared with 11 for the typical Virginia town. 4 rated (E)F2 or stronger. The strongest, an F2, struck on September 17, 2004 about 4.6 miles from the town center. The most recent was on August 11, 2017.
Hail of 1 inch or larger has been reported within 10 miles 51 times; the largest was 2.75 inches on April 23, 1999.
Severe weather in Prince William County since 1996
Prince William County has been included in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1953, most often for flood, drought, freezing.
| Declared | Incident | Declaration |
|---|---|---|
| January 23, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3631: Severe Winter Storm |
| April 2, 2020 | Biological | DR-4512: Covid-19 Pandemic |
| March 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3448: Covid-19 |
| September 11, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3403: Hurricane Florence |
| March 7, 2016 | Snowstorm | DR-4262: Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm |
Jobs and pay in Prince William County
Prince William County had 143,345 jobs in 2024, paying an average of $64,447 a year. Unemployment was 2.7% in 2023; in Bull Run Mountain Estates itself the ACS puts it at 0%.
Towns near Bull Run Mountain Estates
- Middleburg, VA5.8 mi · 669 people · home $777,000
- Stone Ridge, VA6.1 mi · 15,039 people · home $672,800
- Haymarket, VA6.9 mi · 1,545 people · home $580,800
- Arcola, VA7.5 mi · 2,412 people · home $637,800
- Gainesville, VA8.1 mi · 18,112 people · home $712,600
- South Riding, VA8.2 mi · 33,877 people · home $746,200
- Brambleton, VA8.7 mi · 23,486 people · home $865,800
- Marshall, VA9.6 mi · 1,854 people · home $436,000
Bull Run Mountain Estates questions
Is Bull Run Mountain Estates, Virginia a good place to retire?
On The Town Files lifestyle rankings, Bull Run Mountain Estates scores better for retirees than 29% of Virginia towns and quieter than 47%. 10.6% of residents are 65 or older (median age 34.6).
How much does a house cost in Bull Run Mountain Estates?
The median owner-occupied home in Bull Run Mountain Estates is valued at $623,800 (Census ACS 2020–2024), against a median household income of $250,001, so homes cost about 2.5 times income. Median rent is — a month.
What is the weather like in Bull Run Mountain Estates?
July highs average 87.2°F and January lows 24.9°F (NOAA 1991–2020 normals). It gets about 45.1 inches of precipitation a year and 19.8 inches of snow.
Does Bull Run Mountain Estates get tornadoes?
14 tornadoes have passed within 10 miles of Bull Run Mountain Estates since 1950 (NOAA Storm Events); the strongest was a F2 on September 17, 2004. The typical Virginia town has had 11.
- U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2020–2024)
- U.S. Census Bureau, 2020 Census and 2025 Gazetteer (2020 / 2025)
- NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals (1991–2020)
- NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (1950–2026)
- FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations (this product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API but is not endorsed by FEMA) (1953–2026)
- NCES Common Core of Data (2023–24)
- BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages; USDA ERS county unemployment (BLS LAUS) (2000–2024)
- The Town Files lifestyle rankings, built from federal demographic, school, crime and housing data (2025)